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Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $10.5K·Volume $21.5K·Ends Nov 8, 2026
Price now:Yes98%No2%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 17:13computed 1h ago
Thin smart-money data
Only $154 of qualifying stake from 1 wallet — too little to read a signal.
Explanation

Too little smart money is at stake here ($154) to read a signal — the consensus number only says the few wallets present lean the same way, not that they're confident.

Delayed 1h · as of 17:13
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
4d ago1walrusMidBuyNo2.0¢$28
4d ago1walrusMidBuyNo2.0¢$0
4d ago1walrusMidBuyNo2.0¢$10
4d ago1walrusMidBuyNo2.0¢$1
4d ago1walrusMidBuyNo2.0¢$1
4d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes69¢$93
4d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo46¢$46
4d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyNo49¢$49
4d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes47¢$8
4d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes47¢$15
4d agoContestable-ParfaitTopBuyYes56¢$8
4d ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyNo31¢$4
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes25¢$14
4d ago1walrusMidBuyYes25¢$4
5d ago1walrusMidBuyYes36¢$25
5d ago1walrusMidBuyYes36¢$25
5d ago1walrusMidBuyYes36¢$11
5d ago1walrusMidBuyYes36¢$47
6d agoseal7TopBuyYes33¢$159
1w ago1walrusMidBuyYes35¢$109
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyNo61¢$24
1w ago0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271MidBuyNo64¢$3
2w agoYouSayUpISayDownMidBuyNo65¢$7
2w ago1walrusMidBuyYes35¢$2
2w ago1walrusMidBuyYes35¢$4
2w ago1walrusMidBuyYes33¢$34