Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $35.6K·Volume $27.5K·Ends Apr 1, 2028
Price now:Yes10%No90%
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$796 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered91¢90¢at 06:46(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 507d(Apr 1, 2028)Liquidity$35.6K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $796 riding on it.
The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $796 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:46
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $606 |
| 2w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $49 |
| 2w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $45 |
| 2w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $46 |
| 2w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $261 |
| 2w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $33 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $15 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $9 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $28 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $32 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $2 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $93 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $19 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $19 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $19 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $19 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $19 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $37 |