Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
ActiveLiquidity $401.9K·Volume $2.1M·Ends Dec 9, 2026
Price now:Yes9%No91%
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
88%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$53.1K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$22.6K
72h +$22.6K
Smart money entered89¢90¢at 07:37(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesin 29d(Dec 9, 2026)Liquidity$401.9K
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $53.1K riding on it.
The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 89¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$22.6K, +$22.6K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:37
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 9.6¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 9.6¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 9.8¢ | $22 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 9.8¢ | $22 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $224 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $23 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $23 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $224 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $23 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $23 |
| 5h ago | onekey02Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $573 |
| 5h ago | onekey02Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $45 |
| 5h ago | onekey02Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $154 |
| 6h ago | debasedMid | Sell | Yes | 11¢ | $124 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $157 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $157 |
| 11h ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 90¢ | $1,802 |
| 11h ago | classifiedMid | Sell | Yes | 9.5¢ | $365 |
| 11h ago | classifiedMid | Sell | Yes | 9.5¢ | $9 |
| 11h ago | classifiedMid | Sell | Yes | 9.5¢ | $9 |
| 11h ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 8.4¢ | $78 |
| 12h ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $136 |
| 12h ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $44 |
| 12h ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $44 |
| 12h ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 9.1¢ | $455 |
| 12h ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 9.3¢ | $93 |
| 12h ago | classifiedMid | Sell | Yes | 11¢ | $570 |
| 12h ago | classifiedMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $890 |
| 12h ago | classifiedMid | Sell | Yes | 11¢ | $418 |
| 12h ago | classifiedMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $896 |
| 12h ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 8.4¢ | $420 |
| 12h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 8.6¢ | $191 |
| 12h ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 8.9¢ | $184 |
| 12h ago | 0x0026D53F4C96de6B2f3d77aAb49b296333281eD5-1721606046562Mid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $100 |
| 12h ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 8.9¢ | $329 |
| 12h ago | classifiedMid | Sell | No | 90¢ | $1,796 |
| 12h ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 8.9¢ | $261 |
| 12h ago | classifiedMid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $200 |
| 13h ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 89¢ | $401 |
| 13h ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 89¢ | $401 |
| 13h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $9 |
| 13h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $9 |
| 13h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $414 |
| 13h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $415 |
| 13h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $98 |
| 13h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $132 |
| 13h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $192 |
| 13h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $415 |
| 13h ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $192 |
| 13h ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 89¢ | $25 |