Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $8,003·Volume $217.5K·Ends Feb 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$2,534 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered71¢99¢at 06:56(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 82d(Feb 1, 2027)Liquidity$8,003
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,534 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 71¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,534 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:56
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $110 |
| 7w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 7w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 10w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $1 |