TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?

ActiveLiquidity $27.8K·Volume $62.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:33computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,968 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$232
72h +$232
Smart money entered96¢98¢at 07:33(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy9h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$27.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,968 riding on it.

The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,968 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$232, +$232 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:33
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
9h agoyen4uMidBuyNo98¢$116
9h agoyen4uMidBuyNo98¢$116
1w ago4751346MidBuyNo95¢$475
2w agoyen4uMidBuyNo97¢$1,219
2w agoyen4uMidBuyNo96¢$158