Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $12.4K·Volume $17.9K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,036 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h -$130
Smart money entered78¢95¢at 06:38(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$12.4K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,036 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 78¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,036 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have trimmed -$130 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:38
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | UdonsanTop | Sell | No | 93¢ | $127 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $28 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $84 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $28 |
| 1w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $364 |
| 1w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $11 |
| 1w ago | UdonsanTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $174 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $127 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | No | 87¢ | $156 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 74¢ | $293 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Sell | No | 79¢ | $91 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 75¢ | $38 |
| 1w ago | title1Mid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $47 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $142 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 70¢ | $354 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 69¢ | $69 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $66 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | xxNyxMid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $21 |