Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $68.8K·Volume $379.8K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$900 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered60¢98¢at 06:38(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 50d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$68.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $900 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 60¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $900 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:38
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $970 |
| 2w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 98¢ | $77 |
| 2w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $76 |