Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
ActiveLiquidity $1,144·Volume $189.2K·Ends Dec 31, 2026
Price now:Yes30%No70%
Smart money leans
Yes
30% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
30%price30%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$3,358 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered76¢30¢at 17:35(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 50d(Dec 31, 2026)Liquidity$1,144
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $3,358 riding on it.
The price of 30% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 30¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $3,358 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:35
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | aenews2Top | Buy | Yes | 21¢ | $60 |
| 7w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $111 |
| 7w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | Yes | 17¢ | $32 |
| 7w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $2 |
| 7w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | pIebeTop | Sell | Yes | 24¢ | $24 |
| 11w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $104 |
| 12w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $3 |
| 12w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $3 |
| 12w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | Yes | 45¢ | $2 |