Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
ActiveLiquidity $600.4K·Volume $1.8M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
Yes
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$886 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered0.1¢0.4¢at 20:16(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$600.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $886 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 0.1¢; the price was 0.4¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $886 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 20:16
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | dromedaryyTop | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | dromedaryyTop | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | dromedaryyTop | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | dromedaryyTop | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | dromedaryyTop | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $885 |