Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 15, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $22.7K·Volume $8,790·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,526
72h +$5,622
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 06:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 5d(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$22.7K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,526, +$5,622 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:25
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $35 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $35 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $1,714 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $1,714 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | kinderSmanMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $1,311 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $94 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $94 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $29 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $29 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $48 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $48 |
| 2d ago | Voland6777Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $10 |