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Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 15, 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $22.7K·Volume $8,790·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:25computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,526
72h +$5,622
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 06:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 5d(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$22.7K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,526, +$5,622 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:25
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes99¢$35
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes99¢$35
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes99¢$1,714
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes99¢$1,714
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$8
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$8
1d agokinderSmanMidBuyYes98¢$1,311
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes94¢$94
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes96¢$10
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes96¢$10
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes94¢$94
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes96¢$10
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes96¢$10
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes94¢$19
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes95¢$29
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$10
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$19
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$10
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$10
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$10
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$10
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$10
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes95¢$29
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$10
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$19
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$10
1d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes94¢$19
2d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$10
2d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$10
2d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$10
2d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$10
2d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$10
2d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$10
2d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes95¢$29
2d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes95¢$10
2d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes95¢$10
2d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes95¢$19
2d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes96¢$18
2d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes96¢$48
2d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes96¢$29
2d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$48
2d agoVoland6777MidBuyYes97¢$10