Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
ActiveLiquidity $723.5K·Volume $2.2M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
Yes
0% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$416 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered0.2¢0.1¢at 06:39(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$723.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $416 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 0.2¢; the price was 0.1¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $416 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $597 |