Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $96.7K·Volume $239.1K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes11%No90%
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$11.1K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,381
Smart money entered84¢90¢at 22:01(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$96.7K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $11.1K riding on it.
The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 84¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $11.1K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,381 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:01
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 89¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $278 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $278 |
| 2d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $158 |
| 2d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $90 |
| 2d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $442 |
| 2d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $80 |
| 3d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $509 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $503 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $770 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $1,051 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $5 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $26 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $53 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $8 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $26 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $42 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $168 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $11 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $8 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $10 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $22 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $198 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 84¢ | $724 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $2,480 |
| 4d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $1,710 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 62¢ | $57 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 61¢ | $6 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 61¢ | $6 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 61¢ | $6 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 61¢ | $12 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 67¢ | $166 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 67¢ | $23 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 67¢ | $21 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 67¢ | $126 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $1 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $119 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 87¢ | $56 |
| 5d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 85¢ | $162 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 92¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | No | 92¢ | $69 |
| 12w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | No | 92¢ | $111 |