Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
ActiveLiquidity $685.1K·Volume $7.9M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
Yes
3% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
3%price3%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,411 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered2.5¢2.5¢at 22:09(2% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$685.1K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,411 riding on it.
The price of 3% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 2.5¢; the price was 2.5¢ at this snapshot — roughly 2% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,411 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:09
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 3.0¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 2.6¢ | $71 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 2.9¢ | $271 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 6w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $0 |