Iran Nuke before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $99.6K·Volume $1.6M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$25.3K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered96¢98¢at 12:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 52d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$99.6K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $25.3K riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 12:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 98¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | pIebeTop | Sell | No | 97¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $3,275 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $51 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $6 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $101 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $6 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $6 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $6 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $6 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $6 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $12 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $12 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $6 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $6 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $8 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $7 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $5 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |
| 5d ago | thoodrTop | Buy | No | 96¢ | $10 |