Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $39.0K·Volume $27.1K·Ends Apr 1, 2028
Price now:Yes8%No92%
Smart money leans
No
92% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
92%price92%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$355 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢92¢at 07:18(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 507d(Apr 1, 2028)Liquidity$39.0K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $355 riding on it.
The price of 92% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 92¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $355 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:18
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $436 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $49 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $71 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $257 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $70 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $92 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $1,313 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.8¢ | $276 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.8¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.8¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.8¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.8¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $92 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $47 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $47 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $65 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $93 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $47 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $58 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $16 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 5.5¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $6 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $1,045 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $93 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $153 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $326 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $93 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $372 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $372 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $186 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 6.1¢ | $18 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $34 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 5.3¢ | $385 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 4w ago | AnjunMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $58 |