Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $51.0K·Volume $286.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes11%No89%
Smart money leans
No
89% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
95%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
89%price89%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$7,038 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$13.5K
Smart money entered84¢89¢at 07:45(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$51.0K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $7,038 riding on it.
The price of 89% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 84¢; the price was 89¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $7,038 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$13.5K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:45