Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $50.4K·Volume $207.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes7%No93%
Smart money leans
No
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$10.4K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,527
Smart money entered93¢93¢at 16:26(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$50.4K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $10.4K riding on it.
The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,527 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:26
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $198 |
| 1d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $1,329 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $13 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $93 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $74 |
| 3d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $7 |
| 4d ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $313 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $2,376 |
| 4d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $559 |
| 5d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $4,157 |
| 6d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $7 |
| 6d ago | stupid22Top | Buy | No | 88¢ | $393 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $19 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $19 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $19 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $7 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 88¢ | $55 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $9 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $55 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $10 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $28 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $9 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $9 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $23 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $90 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $5 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $23 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $23 |
| 2w ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $23 |
| 5w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $9 |
| 5w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $9 |
| 9w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 87¢ | $9 |
| 9w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 84¢ | $8 |
| 9w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $9 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $9 |
| 10w ago | pIebeTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $9 |