Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $8,600·Volume $174.2K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes28%No72%
Smart money leans
No
71% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
65%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
71%price71%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,261 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered58¢71¢at 11:48(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$8,600
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is somewhat betting on "No", with $2,261 riding on it.
The price of 71% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 58¢; the price was 71¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,261 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:48
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $268 |
| 5d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $162 |
| 1w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | No | 66¢ | $64 |
| 1w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | No | 66¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 66¢ | $64 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $322 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | No | 57¢ | $426 |
| 2w ago | Albert 1953Mid | Buy | No | 58¢ | $2,261 |
| 2w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | No | 58¢ | $434 |
| 3w ago | PackersPeteMid | Sell | Yes | 43¢ | $467 |
| 3w ago | PackersPeteMid | Sell | Yes | 45¢ | $722 |
| 3w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $53 |
| 5w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 57¢ | $203 |
| 6w ago | PackersPeteMid | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $1,742 |
| 7w ago | Jellow2Top | Sell | Yes | 68¢ | $628 |
| 7w ago | Jellow2Top | Sell | Yes | 76¢ | $1,950 |
| 8w ago | Jellow2Top | Sell | Yes | 80¢ | $1 |
| 8w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $320 |
| 8w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $58 |
| 8w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $174 |
| 8w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $66 |
| 9w ago | JesetradingTop | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $161 |
| 9w ago | Jellow2Top | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $2,419 |
| 10w ago | JesetradingTop | Sell | No | 44¢ | $43 |
| 10w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | No | 45¢ | $31 |
| 10w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | Yes | 57¢ | $16 |
| 11w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Sell | Yes | 44¢ | $43 |
| 11w ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 55¢ | $39 |