Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $26.4K·Volume $337.8K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes8%No93%
Smart money leans
No
93% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
85%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
93%price93%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$21.9K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$217
72h -$1,153
Smart money entered60¢93¢at 07:26(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$26.4K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $21.9K riding on it.
The price of 93% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 60¢; the price was 93¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$217, -$1,153 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:26