Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $71.5K·Volume $2.8M·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$228.4K
72h +$274.9K
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:12(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy7h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$71.5K
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$228.4K, +$274.9K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of Nov 11, 06:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $198 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $1,518 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $536 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $536 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $612 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $612 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $61 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $61 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $320 |
| 1d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $320 |
| 2d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $592 |
| 2d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $592 |
| 2d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $271 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $206 |
| 2d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $1,182 |
| 2d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $1,182 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $206 |
| 2d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $1,183 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $8 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $8 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $803 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $40 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $761 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $74 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $22 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $41 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $10 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $20 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $128 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $438 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $206 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $202 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $199 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $196 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $193 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $191 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $188 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $93 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $183 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $28 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $28 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $91 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $90 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $178 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $175 |
| 3d ago | pagliacci4Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $178 |