Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $25.8K·Volume $211.4K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes1%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$789 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered83¢99¢at Nov 10, 23:49(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$25.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $789 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $789 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of Nov 10, 23:49
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $3,237 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $46 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $171 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $198 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $59 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Sell | No | 99¢ | $142 |
| 1w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $690 |
| 2w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $178 |
| 2w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1,055 |
| 3w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $87 |
| 7w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $196 |
| 7w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Sell | No | 93¢ | $549 |
| 7w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $551 |
| 7w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 93¢ | $464 |
| 7w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $279 |
| 10w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $60 |
| 11w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $1 |
| 11w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $1 |
| 11w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $1 |
| 11w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $68 |
| 11w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $9 |
| 11w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $263 |
| 11w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $0 |
| 11w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $9 |
| 11w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $279 |
| 11w ago | debasedMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $298 |