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Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?

ActiveLiquidity $14.0K·Volume $332.1K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 22:16computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$17.1K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered86¢97¢at 22:16(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$14.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $17.1K riding on it.

The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $17.1K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 22:16
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
5w agoTenebrus7TopSellNo98¢$14
5w agoTenebrus7TopSellNo98¢$98
5w agoTenebrus7TopSellNo98¢$49
5w agoTenebrus7TopSellNo98¢$8
5w agoTenebrus7TopSellNo98¢$19
5w agoTenebrus7TopSellNo98¢$8
5w agoTenebrus7TopBuyNo97¢$193
8w agoGrokEnjoyerTopSellNo96¢$2,674
8w agoifyoulovemeTopSellNo94¢$556
8w agoifyoulovemeTopSellNo94¢$384
8w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidSellYes8.0¢$160
8w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidSellYes9.0¢$180
8w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$60
8w agoGrokEnjoyerTopBuyYes8.0¢$9
8w agoGrokEnjoyerTopBuyYes7.0¢$16
8w agoGrokEnjoyerTopBuyNo89¢$18
8w agoGrokEnjoyerTopBuyNo89¢$14
9w agoGrokEnjoyerTopBuyNo89¢$81
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$5
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$62
9w agoifyoulovemeTopSellNo90¢$477
9w agoifyoulovemeTopSellNo90¢$146
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$5
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$36
9w agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo89¢$45
9w agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo88¢$500
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$8
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$0
9w agoifyoulovemeTopBuyNo89¢$955
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$0
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$2
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$0
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$1
9w agoDropperTopBuyNo87¢$2,408
9w agoDropperTopBuyNo87¢$4,350
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$2
9w agoDropperTopBuyNo87¢$1,942
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$14
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$0
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$72
9w agoGrokEnjoyerTopBuyNo90¢$100
9w agoGrokEnjoyerTopBuyNo89¢$198
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$35
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$0
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$11
9w ago0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05MidBuyYes8.0¢$6
9w agotouristsMidBuyNo84¢$8,400
9w agoGrokEnjoyerTopBuyNo86¢$955
9w agoGrokEnjoyerTopBuyNo89¢$494
9w agoGrokEnjoyerTopBuyNo93¢$516