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Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $419.9K·Volume $3.8M·Ends Apr 19, 2027
Price now:Yes0%No100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:10computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
0% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$554 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered1.9¢0.4¢at 07:10(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 159d(Apr 19, 2027)Liquidity$419.9K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $554 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 1.9¢; the price was 0.4¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $554 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:10
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
5d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$0
5d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$3
5d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$0
5d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$1
5d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$3
5d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$3
5d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$2
5d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$0
5d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$0
6d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$2
6d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$10
6d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$1
6d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$3
6d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$10
6d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$3
6d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$3
6d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$3
6d agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$3
1w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$3
1w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$0
1w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$0
1w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.5¢$7
1w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.7¢$50
1w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.7¢$2
1w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.7¢$5
1w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.7¢$13
1w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.7¢$0
2w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.6¢$6
2w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.6¢$1
2w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.6¢$0
2w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.6¢$0
2w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.6¢$0
2w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.6¢$5
2w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.6¢$0
2w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.6¢$0
2w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.6¢$1
2w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.6¢$8
2w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.6¢$2
2w agoStudentMoneyMidBuyYes0.6¢$36
3w agoStudentMoneyMidSellYes2.7¢$13
4w agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.9¢$13
4w agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.9¢$19
4w agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.9¢$3
4w agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.9¢$2
4w agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.9¢$3
4w agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.9¢$3
4w agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.9¢$2
4w agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.9¢$2
4w agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.9¢$2
4w agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.9¢$3