Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
ActiveLiquidity $542.4K·Volume $13.5M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes9%No91%
Smart money leans
Yes
9% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.4pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
9%price10%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$25.9K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$63
72h -$733
Smart money entered10¢9.3¢at 22:12(0% priced in)Edge left+0.4ppLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$542.4K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $25.9K riding on it.
The price of 9% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 10¢; the price was 9.3¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$63, -$733 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 9.2¢ | $32 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 9.2¢ | $32 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $165 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $165 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $15 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $100 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $50 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $50 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $48 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $48 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $19 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $15 |
| 1d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $2 |
| 3d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $15 |
| 3d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $10 |
| 3d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $7 |
| 3d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $34 |
| 3d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 9.6¢ | $22 |
| 4d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 9.3¢ | $330 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 9.2¢ | $2,085 |
| 4d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Buy | Yes | 9.1¢ | $9 |
| 4d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Buy | Yes | 9.1¢ | $9 |
| 4d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Buy | Yes | 9.1¢ | $9 |
| 4d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Buy | Yes | 9.1¢ | $9 |
| 4d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Buy | Yes | 9.1¢ | $9 |
| 4d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Buy | Yes | 9.1¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402Top | Buy | Yes | 9.1¢ | $50 |