Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $75.4K·Volume $189.4K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
98%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
10
$16.8K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$18.6K
72h +$40.0K
Smart money entered56¢98¢at 04:21(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$75.4K
Explanation
10 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $16.8K riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 56¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$18.6K, +$40.0K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:21
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $193 |
| 4h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 97¢ | $193 |
| 5h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 1.2¢ | $12 |
| 5h ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 1.2¢ | $12 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $979 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 94¢ | $979 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 6.1¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.8¢ | $192 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.8¢ | $192 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.1¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.1¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.1¢ | $79 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.1¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.1¢ | $138 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.1¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $303 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $303 |
| 6h ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 91¢ | $6 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $8 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $8 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $965 |
| 6h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.1¢ | $16 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $524 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $524 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $9 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $9 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $202 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $202 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $83 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 92¢ | $83 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $1,773 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $1,773 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $1,635 |
| 6h ago | FulguratorMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $1,635 |
| 6h ago | FulguratorMid | Sell | Yes | 9.0¢ | $352 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $609 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $609 |
| 6h ago | yen4uMid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $7,000 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 11¢ | $60 |
| 6h ago | ifyoulovemeTop | Sell | Yes | 11¢ | $60 |
| 6h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 85¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | FulguratorMid | Sell | Yes | 16¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | FulguratorMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $37 |
| 6h ago | FulguratorMid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $37 |
| 6h ago | Optimus-Mid | Sell | No | 77¢ | $2,303 |
| 6h ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 25¢ | $19 |
| 6h ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 25¢ | $6 |
| 6h ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $105 |
| 6h ago | piepedMid | Sell | Yes | 28¢ | $56 |