Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $30.2K·Volume $252.9K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No99%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
92%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$4,411 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered73¢99¢at 16:18(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$30.2K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $4,411 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 73¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.