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Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $6,166·Volume $55.5K·Ends Jan 1, 2030
Price now:Yes23%No77%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 00:39computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
77% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
77%price77%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,136 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered65¢77¢at 00:39(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 1147d(Jan 1, 2030)Liquidity$6,166
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,136 riding on it.

The price of 77% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 65¢; the price was 77¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,136 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 00:39
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1w agoCarMidBuyNo67¢$2
1w ago1nvoker1MidBuyNo68¢$100
1w ago1nvoker1MidBuyNo68¢$43
1w ago1nvoker1MidBuyNo68¢$0
1w ago1nvoker1MidBuyNo62¢$328
1w agoCarMidSellNo67¢$1,305
1w ago1nvoker1MidBuyNo67¢$335
1w ago1nvoker1MidBuyNo66¢$30
1w ago1nvoker1MidBuyNo66¢$300
2w agoCarMidBuyNo69¢$1,146
3w agoCarMidSellNo74¢$6,541
3w agoCarMidSellNo74¢$296
3w agoCarMidSellNo74¢$63
4w ago1nvoker1MidSellYes28¢$34
4w ago1nvoker1MidSellYes28¢$2
4w agoCarMidSellNo74¢$593
4w agoCarMidBuyNo74¢$7,400
5w ago1nvoker1MidBuyYes24¢$2
5w ago1nvoker1MidBuyYes24¢$4
5w ago1nvoker1MidBuyYes24¢$1
5w ago1nvoker1MidBuyYes24¢$0
5w agoCarMidBuyNo75¢$112
5w ago1nvoker1MidBuyYes24¢$0
5w agoCarMidBuyNo75¢$194
6w ago1nvoker1MidBuyYes24¢$25