Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $214.8K·Volume $9.6M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes98%No2%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$9,437 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,928
72h +$3,928
Smart money entered97¢98¢at 16:19(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$214.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $9,437 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $9,437 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,928, +$3,928 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:19
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $1,958 |
| 3h ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $1,958 |
| 3d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $7 |
| 3d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $27 |
| 3d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $1,641 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $3,912 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $570 |
| 4d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $1,372 |
| 5d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $2,907 |
| 6d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $967 |
| 6d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $1,928 |
| 6d ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $966 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $851 |
| 1w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $116 |
| 2w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $622 |
| 2w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $1,100 |
| 2w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $1,612 |
| 2w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $124 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $900 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $6 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $48 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $2,506 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $571 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $4 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $64 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $7 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $6 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $9 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $6 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $24 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $5 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $5 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $100 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $7 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $5 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $200 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $40 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $4 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $6 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $417 |
| 4w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $1,141 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $69 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $1,406 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Sell | Yes | 97¢ | $300 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $1,924 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $1,922 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $1,934 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $68 |
| 5w ago | Tenebrus7Top | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $494 |