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Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $38.1K·Volume $244.3K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes10%No91%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 02:00computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
91% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
91%price91%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$22.7K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered84¢91¢at 02:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$38.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $22.7K riding on it.

The price of 91% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 84¢; the price was 91¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $22.7K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 02:00
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1w agoxxNyxMidSellNo84¢$808
1w ago1nvoker1MidBuyNo84¢$420
1w agoxxNyxMidSellNo87¢$35
1w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$198
1w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$1,680
1w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo83¢$830
1w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$1,231
1w ago1nvoker1MidBuyNo85¢$384
1w ago1nvoker1MidBuyNo85¢$84
1w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$810
1w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$840
1w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$251
1w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$30
1w ago1nvoker1MidBuyNo85¢$425
1w ago1nvoker1MidBuyNo89¢$400
1w ago1nvoker1MidBuyNo87¢$315
1w ago1nvoker1MidBuyNo87¢$87
1w ago1nvoker1MidBuyNo87¢$33
2w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$42
2w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$59
2w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$315
2w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$13
2w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$1,534
2w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$146
2w agoxxNyxMidSellNo84¢$1,680
2w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$525
2w agoxxNyxMidSellNo84¢$525
2w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$630
2w agoxxNyxMidSellNo84¢$630
2w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$315
2w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$525
2w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$52
2w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$213
2w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$368
2w agoSlenderManMidBuyNo84¢$38
2w agoxxNyxMidSellNo85¢$60
2w agoxxNyxMidSellNo85¢$4
2w agoxxNyxMidSellNo85¢$87
2w agoxxNyxMidSellNo85¢$8
2w agoxxNyxMidSellNo85¢$5
2w agoxxNyxMidSellNo85¢$10
2w agoxxNyxMidSellNo85¢$54
2w agoxxNyxMidSellNo85¢$304
2w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo66¢$660
2w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo78¢$764
2w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo78¢$16
2w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo81¢$810
2w agoxxNyxMidBuyNo86¢$860
3w ago1nvoker1MidSellNo93¢$402
3w ago1nvoker1MidSellNo93¢$67