Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $48.2K·Volume $56.5K·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes9%No91%
Smart money leans
No
91% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
97%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
91%price91%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$5,939 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,694
72h +$10.8K
Smart money entered92¢91¢at 02:03(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$48.2K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $5,939 riding on it.
The price of 91% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 92¢; the price was 91¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,694, +$10.8K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:03
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $32 |
| 3h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $16 |
| 3h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $32 |
| 3h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $16 |
| 3h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $210 |
| 3h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $210 |
| 5h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $267 |
| 5h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $267 |
| 5h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $328 |
| 5h ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $328 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $16 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $175 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $175 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $53 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $27 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $175 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 90¢ | $175 |
| 1d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $166 |
| 1d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 90¢ | $166 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $27 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 89¢ | $53 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | RdogTestTop | Buy | No | 91¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $488 |
| 1d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $488 |
| 1d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $488 |
| 1d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $488 |
| 1d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $488 |
| 1d ago | 080526Top | Buy | No | 93¢ | $488 |
| 1d ago | nmnrTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $238 |
| 1d ago | nmnrTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $238 |
| 1d ago | nmnrTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $238 |
| 1d ago | nmnrTop | Buy | No | 93¢ | $238 |