Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $4,577·Volume $217.6K·Ends Nov 16, 2026
Price now:Yes17%No83%
Smart money leans
No
81% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
81%price81%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$1,522 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$407
Smart money entered35¢81¢at 18:12(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 5d(Nov 16, 2026)Liquidity$4,577
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $1,522 riding on it.
The price of 81% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 35¢; the price was 81¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,522 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$407 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 81¢ | $162 |
| 2d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 81¢ | $245 |
| 3d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 68¢ | $21 |
| 3d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 69¢ | $232 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 51¢ | $177 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 51¢ | $158 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 51¢ | $96 |
| 1w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 22¢ | $46 |
| 1w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 21¢ | $105 |
| 1w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 22¢ | $44 |
| 1w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 22¢ | $20 |
| 1w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 22¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 23¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 14¢ | $48 |
| 1w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 14¢ | $72 |
| 1w ago | nonkenny90Top | Sell | Yes | 85¢ | $122 |
| 1w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | No | 15¢ | $96 |
| 1w ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 6.3¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $70 |
| 1w ago | nonkenny90Top | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $70 |