Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $4,471·Volume $51.9K·Ends Feb 1, 2027
Price now:Yes74%No26%
Smart money leans
Yes
74% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
74%price74%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,657 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$944
72h +$944
Smart money entered79¢74¢at 07:17(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy18h agoResolvesin 82d(Feb 1, 2027)Liquidity$4,471
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,657 riding on it.
The price of 74% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 79¢; the price was 74¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,657 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$944, +$944 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:17
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18h ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $36 |
| 18h ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $1 |
| 18h ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $22 |
| 18h ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $401 |
| 18h ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $408 |
| 2w ago | 0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88-1792449496754Mid | Buy | Yes | 82¢ | $2,376 |
| 4w ago | viniiTop | Sell | No | 25¢ | $26 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 25¢ | $125 |
| 7w ago | viniiTop | Sell | Yes | 78¢ | $85 |
| 8w ago | viniiTop | Sell | Yes | 64¢ | $120 |