Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $4,323·Volume $579.0K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes4%No96%
Smart money leans
No
96% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
94%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
96%price96%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$28.4K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered90¢96¢at 08:25(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$4,323
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $28.4K riding on it.
The price of 96% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 96¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $28.4K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 08:25
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $19 |
| 5d ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $142 |
| 6d ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $5,032 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $5,205 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $55 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $15 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $5 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $12 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | thoodrMid | Buy | No | 94¢ | $3,782 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $42 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $4 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $8 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $13 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $15 |
| 2w ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 2.0¢ | $44 |