China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
ActiveLiquidity $85.4K·Volume $3.5M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
Yes
3% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
63%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
3%price3%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$1,445 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered6.8¢3.3¢at 00:36(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$85.4K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Yes", with $1,445 riding on it.
The price of 3% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 6.8¢; the price was 3.3¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:36
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $151 |
| 7w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $2 |
| 7w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | troimMid | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $830 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $13 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $13 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $13 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $6 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $7 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $14 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $7 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $10 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $0 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $1 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $10 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $10 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $11 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $11 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $11 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $11 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $12 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $10 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $8 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $10 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $4 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $5 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $2 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $3 |
| 7w ago | aenews2Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.3¢ | $3 |