Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $97.4K·Volume $1.6M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes21%No79%
Smart money leans
No
79% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
88%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
79%price78%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$69.8K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$38.7K
72h +$52.8K
Smart money entered82¢79¢at 06:41Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$97.4K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $69.8K riding on it.
The price of 79% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 82¢; the price was 79¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$38.7K, +$52.8K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $15,226 |
| 3h ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $14,995 |
| 6h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $609 |
| 6h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $609 |
| 7h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $4 |
| 11h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $1,121 |
| 11h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $1,121 |
| 13h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $389 |
| 13h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 23¢ | $389 |
| 16h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $8 |
| 16h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $316 |
| 16h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 77¢ | $316 |
| 16h ago | TokorTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $8 |
| 16h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $2,340 |
| 16h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $1,955 |
| 17h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 21¢ | $496 |
| 17h ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 21¢ | $496 |
| 1d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $39 |
| 1d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $712 |
| 1d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $2,430 |
| 1d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 19¢ | $712 |
| 1d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $2,430 |
| 1d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $90 |
| 1d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $90 |
| 1d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $49 |
| 1d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $49 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 22¢ | $1,401 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 22¢ | $1,401 |
| 1d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $2,310 |
| 1d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 77¢ | $2,310 |
| 2d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $2,340 |
| 2d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $2,400 |
| 3d ago | ponydsbMid | Sell | No | 81¢ | $178 |
| 3d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | Yes | 19¢ | $1,792 |
| 4d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $295 |
| 4d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $89 |
| 5d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $1,356 |
| 5d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $2 |
| 5d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $4 |
| 5d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $2 |
| 5d ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $460 |
| 5d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $303 |
| 5d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $690 |
| 6d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $129 |
| 6d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $0 |