Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
ActiveLiquidity $5,343·Volume $248.0K·Ends Jan 31, 2027
Price now:Yes97%No3%
Smart money leans
Yes
97% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
97%price97%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$3,857 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered75¢97¢at 06:30(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 81d(Jan 31, 2027)Liquidity$5,343
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $3,857 riding on it.
The price of 97% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 75¢; the price was 97¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $3,857 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $878 |
| 10w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $4 |
| 11w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $5 |
| 11w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $2 |
| 11w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $13 |
| 11w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $1 |
| 11w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $24 |
| 11w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $70 |
| 12w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $45 |
| 12w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $13 |
| 12w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $5 |
| 12w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $1 |
| 12w ago | xxNyxMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $1 |