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Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

ActiveLiquidity $396.9K·Volume $9.9M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes2%No98%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:22computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
2% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
2%price2%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$438 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered1.5¢1.6¢at 07:22(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$396.9K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $438 riding on it.

The price of 2% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 1.5¢; the price was 1.6¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $438 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:22
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
3d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$1
3d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
3d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
3d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$1
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$1
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$1
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$1
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$1
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$1
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$1
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$0
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$9
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$2
4d agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$1
2w agolastminwinMidBuyYes1.5¢$22