Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
ActiveLiquidity $396.9K·Volume $9.9M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
Yes
2% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
2%price2%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$438 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered1.5¢1.6¢at 07:22(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$396.9K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $438 riding on it.
The price of 2% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 1.5¢; the price was 1.6¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $438 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:22
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 3d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 3d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $1 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $0 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $9 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $2 |
| 4d ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $1 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | Yes | 1.5¢ | $22 |