Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $22.5K·Volume $71.3K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
95%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,548 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered67¢100¢at 22:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$22.5K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,548 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 67¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,548 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 24¢ | $10 |
| 6d ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $30 |
| 6d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $720 |
| 6d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $8 |
| 6d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $826 |
| 6d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $18 |
| 6d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $7 |
| 6d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $269 |
| 6d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $548 |
| 6d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $29 |
| 6d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 64¢ | $153 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 37¢ | $2,556 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 33¢ | $17 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 33¢ | $87 |
| 1w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 34¢ | $378 |
| 1w ago | SpringlyFawlMid | Buy | No | 36¢ | $18 |
| 1w ago | broskyeMid | Buy | No | 29¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | lava-lavaTop | Buy | No | 24¢ | $208 |
| 2w ago | broskyeMid | Buy | No | 24¢ | $2 |
| 2w ago | G.HchenTop | Sell | Yes | 72¢ | $216 |
| 2w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Sell | Yes | 73¢ | $1,226 |
| 3w ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $215 |
| 3w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $7 |
| 3w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $1 |
| 3w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $406 |
| 3w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 70¢ | $159 |
| 3w ago | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836Top | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $601 |