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Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?

ActiveLiquidity $28.9K·Volume $92.1K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of Nov 10, 23:48Smart money exiting · $9,137 sold 24hcomputed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$830 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$9,137
72h -$11.1K
Smart money entered54¢99¢at Nov 10, 23:48Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$28.9K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $830 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 54¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot.

Warning: wallets that backed "Yes" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.

Note: only $830 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$9,137, -$11.1K over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.

Delayed 1h · as of Nov 10, 23:48
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
16h agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidSellYes100¢$8,775
23h agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidSellYes100¢$199
23h agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidSellYes100¢$199
1d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidSellYes100¢$249
1d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidSellYes100¢$221
1d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidSellYes100¢$335
1d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidSellYes100¢$298
1d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidSellYes100¢$247
1d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidSellYes100¢$433
1d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidSellYes100¢$209
1d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidSellYes100¢$6
2d agomrworldwideTopBuyYes99¢$9
4d agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyYes96¢$208
4d agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyYes96¢$29
4d agoD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935MidBuyYes96¢$52
5d agothanksforplayinTopSellNo18¢$110
6d agothanksforplayinTopBuyNo6.8¢$32
6d agothanksforplayinTopBuyNo6.3¢$8
6d agononkenny90MidBuyYes97¢$9
6d agononkenny90MidBuyYes97¢$64
6d agononkenny90MidBuyYes97¢$111
6d agononkenny90MidBuyYes97¢$0
6d agononkenny90MidBuyYes97¢$330
6d agononkenny90MidBuyYes97¢$19
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$223
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$927
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$4,512
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$288
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$1,376
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$88
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$1,649
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$282
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoDonaldinhoTrumpitoMidBuyYes92¢$46
6d agoYouSayUpISayDownMidBuyNo11¢$4