Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?
ActiveLiquidity $28.9K·Volume $92.1K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes99%No1%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of Nov 10, 23:48Smart money exiting · $9,137 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
Yes
99% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$830 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$9,137
72h -$11.1K
Smart money entered54¢99¢at Nov 10, 23:48Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$28.9K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $830 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 54¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot.
Warning: wallets that backed "Yes" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $830 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$9,137, -$11.1K over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of Nov 10, 23:48
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16h ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $8,775 |
| 23h ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $199 |
| 23h ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $199 |
| 1d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $249 |
| 1d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $221 |
| 1d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $335 |
| 1d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $298 |
| 1d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $247 |
| 1d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $433 |
| 1d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $209 |
| 1d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Sell | Yes | 100¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | mrworldwideTop | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $9 |
| 4d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $208 |
| 4d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $29 |
| 4d ago | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $52 |
| 5d ago | thanksforplayinTop | Sell | No | 18¢ | $110 |
| 6d ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 6.8¢ | $32 |
| 6d ago | thanksforplayinTop | Buy | No | 6.3¢ | $8 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $9 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $64 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $111 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $330 |
| 6d ago | nonkenny90Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $19 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $223 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $927 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $4,512 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $288 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $1,376 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $88 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $1,649 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $282 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | DonaldinhoTrumpitoMid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $46 |
| 6d ago | YouSayUpISayDownMid | Buy | No | 11¢ | $4 |