Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?
ActiveLiquidity $43.1K·Volume $81.1K·Ends Nov 4, 2026
Price now:Yes98%No2%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$7,828 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$318
72h +$5,555
Smart money entered95¢98¢at 07:23(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesended(Nov 4, 2026)Liquidity$43.1K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $7,828 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 95¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$318, +$5,555 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | FlyingPlatyMid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $111 |
| 17h ago | FlyingPlatyMid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $134 |
| 1d ago | FlyingPlatyMid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $70 |
| 1d ago | FlyingPlatyMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $142 |
| 1d ago | FlyingPlatyMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $142 |
| 1d ago | FlyingPlatyMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $223 |
| 1d ago | FlyingPlatyMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $223 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $298 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $298 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $425 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $410 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $410 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $425 |
| 2d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $42 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $1,934 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $90 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $42 |
| 3d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $98 |
| 4d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $605 |
| 4d ago | AddarashMid | Sell | Yes | 98¢ | $536 |
| 5d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 3.3¢ | $20 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $25 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $19 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $36 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $19 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $43 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $32 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $24 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $19 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 94¢ | $19 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $1,054 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $104 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 2.0¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $1,890 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 95¢ | $121 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $13 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 10¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 10¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 10¢ | $4 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 10¢ | $0 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $2 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | No | 11¢ | $4 |