Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
ActiveLiquidity $109.0K·Volume $9.6M·Ends Oct 28, 2026
Price now:Yes58%No42%
Smart money leans
Yes
60% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
70%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
60%price60%model est.*
Smart wallets
13
$49.4K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,041
72h -$15.3K
Smart money entered41¢60¢at 07:19(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Oct 28, 2026)Liquidity$109.0K
Explanation
13 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Yes", with $49.4K riding on it.
The price of 60% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 41¢; the price was 60¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,041, -$15.3K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:19
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $197 |
| 1h ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | No | 41¢ | $81 |
| 1h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $132 |
| 1h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 40¢ | $394 |
| 1h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 40¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 62¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 62¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | No | 40¢ | $74 |
| 3h ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | No | 40¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | 4751346Mid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $303 |
| 3h ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | No | 40¢ | $80 |
| 4h ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 62¢ | $100 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $33 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $33 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $165 |
| 8h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $165 |
| 10h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $200 |
| 10h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $122 |
| 10h ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | No | 39¢ | $86 |
| 10h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $122 |
| 10h ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 60¢ | $200 |
| 10h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 39¢ | $227 |
| 10h ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | No | 40¢ | $80 |
| 11h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 38¢ | $304 |
| 11h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 38¢ | $74 |
| 11h ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | No | 38¢ | $122 |
| 13h ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | No | 38¢ | $23 |
| 13h ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | No | 36¢ | $7 |
| 14h ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | No | 36¢ | $11 |
| 16h ago | kekkoneMid | Buy | No | 36¢ | $71 |
| 17h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Buy | No | 37¢ | $368 |
| 18h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 39¢ | $23 |
| 18h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 39¢ | $45 |
| 18h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 39¢ | $4 |
| 19h ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | No | 39¢ | $42 |
| 19h ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 39¢ | $87 |
| 19h ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | No | 39¢ | $15 |
| 19h ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | No | 39¢ | $6 |
| 19h ago | kekkoneMid | Sell | No | 39¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $112 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $112 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $139 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $140 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 38¢ | $459 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 62¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $139 |
| 1d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 63¢ | $140 |
| 1d ago | 1nvoker1Mid | Sell | No | 38¢ | $459 |
| 1d ago | deltasniperMid | Sell | Yes | 64¢ | $270 |