Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?
ActiveLiquidity $21.3K·Volume $33.6K·Ends Jan 1, 2028
Price now:Yes5%No95%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
90%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$2,056 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered94¢95¢at 07:32(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4d agoResolvesin 416d(Jan 1, 2028)Liquidity$21.3K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $2,056 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 94¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $2,056 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:32