Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
ActiveLiquidity $311.8K·Volume $14.8M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes5%No95%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
61%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$52.3K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢95¢at 03:33Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$311.8K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "No", with $52.3K riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $52.3K of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:33
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | ancianoMid | Buy | No | 95¢ | $380 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 2.1¢ | $210 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $724 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $27 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $16 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $43 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $51 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $1 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $0 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.1¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.2¢ | $260 |
| 1w ago | Optimus-Mid | Sell | Yes | 5.2¢ | $1,130 |
| 1w ago | siickMid | Buy | Yes | 5.5¢ | $1,085 |
| 1w ago | siickMid | Buy | Yes | 5.5¢ | $14 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $195 |
| 1w ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | Yes | 5.7¢ | $114 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $45 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $17 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $6 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $2 |
| 1w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $49 |
| 2w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $0 |
| 2w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $198 |
| 2w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.8¢ | $35 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $3 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $7 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $14 |
| 2w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $18,539 |
| 2w ago | l3t0Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.8¢ | $503 |
| 2w ago | l3t0Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.8¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $9,440 |
| 3w ago | lastminwinMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $811 |
| 3w ago | EatprayloveTop | Buy | Yes | 6.8¢ | $204 |
| 3w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 6.8¢ | $9 |
| 3w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 6.8¢ | $0 |
| 3w ago | 4751346Mid | Sell | Yes | 6.8¢ | $57 |
| 3w ago | Optimus-Mid | Buy | Yes | 6.9¢ | $1,556 |
| 4w ago | whigTop | Buy | Yes | 5.5¢ | $252 |