Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "No", with $420 riding on it.

The price of 49% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 9.5¢; the price was 49¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $420 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$59, -$59 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.