Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation at the end of November?
ActiveLiquidity $881·Volume $7,109·Ends Dec 1, 2026
Price now:Yes89%No11%
Smart money leans
Yes
89% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
89%price89%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$280 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered79¢89¢at 03:38(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 20d(Dec 1, 2026)Liquidity$881
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $280 riding on it.
The price of 89% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 79¢; the price was 89¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $280 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:38
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | viniiTop | Buy | Yes | 79¢ | $292 |