Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
ActiveLiquidity $206.9K·Volume $18.6M·Ends Nov 8, 2028
Price now:Yes3%No97%
Smart money leans
Yes
3% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
3%price3%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$325 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered1.3¢3.4¢at 22:31(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5d agoResolvesin 728d(Nov 8, 2028)Liquidity$206.9K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $325 riding on it.
The price of 3% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 1.3¢; the price was 3.4¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $325 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 22:31
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 1.1¢ | $22 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 1.2¢ | $27 |
| 5d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 1.2¢ | $3 |
| 6d ago | Contestable-ParfaitTop | Buy | Yes | 1.4¢ | $272 |