Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 14?
ActiveLiquidity $8,838·Volume $44.4K·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$2,374 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,806
Smart money entered83¢100¢at 07:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 4d(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$8,838
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $2,374 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,806 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | moonlight2020Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $36 |
| 1d ago | moonlight2020Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $36 |
| 1d ago | moonlight2020Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $35 |
| 1d ago | moonlight2020Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $35 |
| 1d ago | moonlight2020Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $807 |
| 1d ago | moonlight2020Mid | Buy | Yes | 97¢ | $807 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 93¢ | $98 |
| 3d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 88¢ | $478 |
| 4d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $257 |
| 4d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $239 |
| 4d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $134 |
| 4d ago | G.HchenTop | Buy | Yes | 67¢ | $131 |
| 4d ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 69¢ | $175 |