Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
ActiveLiquidity $22.4K·Volume $484.8K·Ends Mar 2, 2027
Price now:Yes10%No90%
Smart money leans
Yes
8% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
8%price8%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$422 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered55¢8.0¢at 14:00(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneSignal age30dResolvesin 112d(Mar 2, 2027)Liquidity$22.4K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $422 riding on it.
The price of 8% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 55¢; the price was 8.0¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $422 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 14:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $9 |
| 5w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $128 |
| 5w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $2 |
| 5w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $5 |
| 5w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $1,194 |
| 6w ago | flawfenceTop | Buy | No | 61¢ | $687 |
| 10w ago | GrokEnjoyerTop | Buy | No | 79¢ | $43 |
| 10w ago | 0x955c9661bf6e010beff0ba896a49f715a8c8990fTop | Sell | Yes | 20¢ | $122 |