Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $141.0K·Volume $5.5M·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes6%No95%
Smart money leans
Yes
6% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
62%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
6%price6%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$1,278 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$19
72h +$827
Smart money entered19¢5.5¢at 11:41Edge leftnoneLast smart buy16h agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$141.0K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Yes", with $1,278 riding on it.
The price of 6% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 19¢; the price was 5.5¢ at this snapshot.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$19, +$827 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 11:41
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16h ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 4.8¢ | $2 |
| 19h ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 3.7¢ | $6 |
| 19h ago | TokorTop | Buy | Yes | 3.7¢ | $6 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $378 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $379 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $379 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $680 |
| 1d ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Sell | No | 96¢ | $680 |
| 1d ago | boyauMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $3,547 |
| 1d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $119 |
| 1d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $119 |
| 1d ago | boyauMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $1,701 |
| 1d ago | boyauMid | Sell | No | 97¢ | $1,701 |
| 1d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $96 |
| 1d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $460 |
| 1d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $460 |
| 1d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $27 |
| 1d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $27 |
| 1d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $535 |
| 2d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 91¢ | $2,730 |
| 3d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $320 |
| 3d ago | boyauMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $496 |
| 3d ago | boyauMid | Sell | No | 95¢ | $2,165 |
| 3d ago | ponydsbMid | Sell | No | 94¢ | $627 |
| 4d ago | justdanceMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $180 |
| 5d ago | pbshineMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $10 |
| 1w ago | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7Mid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $9,252 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $144 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $18,354 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $1,116 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | boyauMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $23 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $998 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $869 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $838 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $276 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $674 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $2,076 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 92¢ | $684 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $1,496 |
| 1w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $2,727 |
| 2w ago | justdanceMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $266 |
| 2w ago | yen4uMid | Sell | No | 92¢ | $1,019 |