China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $15.8K·Volume $232.9K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes6%No95%
Smart money leans
No
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
87%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$474 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered83¢95¢at 06:39(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$15.8K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $474 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $474 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:39
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2w ago | deltasniperMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $26 |
| 10w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $22 |
| 11w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 11w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $6 |
| 11w ago | StarMasterMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $5 |
| 11w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 8.0¢ | $7 |
| 12w ago | StarMasterMid | Sell | Yes | 8.0¢ | $0 |